What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?
Closed Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
Previous version. This question was previously issued for 2020 Q3. You can view those forecasts here. The actual data for 2020 Q3 will be added to the graph below as soon as it's available.
Context. As the economic crisis deepens, large tech companies have so far demonstrated resilience, beating Wall Street Analysts’ expectations.
Data and Resolution Details. This question resolves based on the 10-Q filings of Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., and Microsoft Inc. It resolves when these companies’ 10-Q filings for the second quarter of 2021 are publicly available.
The graph below doesn't reflect data for 2020 Q3. Total revenue during that quarter is $265.7 billion.
The data underlying the graph is here.
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The answer is $652.9 billion. Quarter-by-quarter results for each company are here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xVPTJKwU0goh-XugJxWAS_9EWcZVQQV4iUfoNz08jQA/edit#gid=0
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $440 billion | 3% | |
| Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive | 8% | |
| More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion | 27% | |
| More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion | 44% | |
| More than $590 billion | 18% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 75 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 59 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 102 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
