Question 5 of 15 in Industry
Started Sep 02, 2020 12:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

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For more on this metric, see the accompanying Foretell metric analysis: "Are Established Tech Companies Crowding Out Startups?"

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Crunchbase data. Crunchbase classifies every company under multiple “category groups.” For this question, companies are classified as “tech” if software, hardware, internet services, or information technology are among their category groups. These categories are overlapping. A company is "private" if it's not publicly traded. This question resolves on January 30, 2021, 30 days after the forecast period ends. The question -- and the graph below -- therefore includes only transactions entered into Crunchbase within 30 days of the date of its announcement. Historically, 80% of new funding is entered into Crunchbase within 30 days. 

Between July 1 and July 31, 2020, private U.S. tech companies raised $6.7 billion. August is poised to be more lucrative. As of August 31, Crunchbase already includes transactions totaling $8.4 billion for the month. The chart below does not include an anomalous $100 billion raised by Broadcom Limited in February 2018. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Name Probability
Less than $40 billion 11%
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive 20%
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion 27%
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion 29%
More than $100 billion 12%

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