Started Aug 05, 2020 12:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?

Topics

Context. As the economic crisis deepens, large tech companies have so far demonstrated resilience, beating Wall Street Analysts’ expectations.

Data and Resolution Details. This question resolves based on the 10-Q filings of Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., and Microsoft Inc. It resolves when these companies’ 10-Q filings for the third quarter of 2020 are publicly available. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Resolution Notes
The total is $265.7 billion. $46.2 for Google; $96.2 for Amazon; $64.7 for Apple; $21.2 for Facebook; and $37.2 for Microsoft.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $190 billion 2%
Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive 11%
More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion 49%
More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion 32%
More than $310 billion 6%

No. of
Forecasters

61

Forecast
Count

73

Crowd Brier Score

0.0715


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062
2.
-0.061
3.
-0.06
4.
-0.053
5.
-0.053

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