Started Aug 05, 2020 12:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM UTC

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Topics

Context. On July 31, 2020, President Trump threatened to ban the app TikTok in the United States, citing security concerns. Two days later, Microsoft announced that it had been in discussions with President Trump regarding purchasing TikTok service in the United States, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) is conducting a security review and would need to approve the purchase. Microsoft said it would pursue the deal over the next few weeks and will complete the discussions no later than September 15.

Data and resolution details. This question will resolve based on an announcement by Microsoft that it has reached an agreement with TikTok and the U.S. government to purchase TikTok service in the United States.

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Resolution Notes
Microsoft officials have announced that Tik Tok selected Oracle over Microsoft. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/13/technology/tiktok-microsoft-oracle-bytedance.html

Final Crowd Forecast

38%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

137

Forecast
Count

295

Crowd Brier Score

0.527


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.445
2.
-0.382
3.
-0.365
4.
-0.364
5.
-0.362

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