Started Jul 15, 2020 12:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC

How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Topics

Context. Facial recognition is a core part of surveillance technologies. An increase in market interest for surveillance technologies will likely coincide with an increase in funding for companies that focus on facial recognition.

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Crunchbase data. For this question, a company is a "facial recognition" company if Crunchbase places it in that industry. For a list of Crunchbase facial recognition companies, see here. This question resolves on January 30, 2021, 30 days after the forecast period ends. The question -- and the graph below -- therefore includes only transactions entered into Crunchbase within 30 days of the date of its announcement. Historically, 80% of new funding is entered into Crunchbase within 30 days. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

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Resolution Notes

The answer is $129 million.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $200 million 6%
More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million 19%
Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive 24%
More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion 21%
More than $1.1 billion 30%

No. of
Forecasters

65

Forecast
Count

98

Crowd Brier Score

0.7546


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.75
2.
-0.712
3.
-0.697
4.
-0.62
5.
-0.516

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