Started Jul 01, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC

Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?

Topics

Context. On June 29, India announced that 59 Chinese origin applications will be blocked, citing “activities… prejudicial to sovereignty and integrity of India, defence of India, security of state and public order.” Among the applications included in the ban is the popular video sharing service TikTok, produced by the Chinese company ByteDance. India is ByteDance’s second largest market after China, with over 120 million active users (Business of Apps). The Indian government previously blocked access to TikTok for two weeks in April 2019 (CNN).


Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on official announcements from the Indian government.


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Resolution Notes
India has given Tik Tok three weeks (until July 22) to respond to a long list of questions. If it does not respond by then, India says the ban will be permanent. https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/tiktok-banned-chinese-apps-permanent-ban-govt-notice-questionnaire-1699147-2020-07-10#:~:text=If%20they%20don't%20respond,on%20them%20would%20become%20permanent.&text=Trouble%20is%20mounting%20for%20the,Indian%20government%20over%20privacy%20issues.&text=Any%20discrepancy%20can%20lead%20to,privy%20to%20the%20development%20said.

Final Crowd Forecast

90%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

112

Forecast
Count

149

Crowd Brier Score

0.0423


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.021
2.
-0.019
3.
-0.019
4.
-0.019
5.
-0.019

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