Question 1 of 2 in Public Attitudes
Started Jun 18, 2020 12:52PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?


Context. Facial recognition technology is becoming increasingly controversial due to fears about widespread surveillance. The sentiment of media coverage on the topic is a proxy for public attitudes. 

Background and resolution details. This question is based on data from Nexis Metabase (2020), a corpus of global news articles on a variety of topics. An article is about facial recognition if it mentions the term "facial recognition." Nexis uses a machine-learning trained sentiment-analysis model to evaluate the sentiment of an article on a scale of -1 to 1. For this question, an article has negative sentiment if its sentiment is less than 0. This question resolves when CSET receives Nexis data through September 30, 2020.

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Name Probability
Less than 30% 4%
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive 10%
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% 25%
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% 31%
More than 60% 30%

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