Started Aug 26, 2021 07:15PM UTC   •   Closed

How will the percentage of U.S. residents who don't trust the U.S. military change over the next three years?

This question is a metric for an issue campaign on the future of the DoD-Silicon Valley relationship. To learn more about this issue campaign and the relevance of this question, see the campaign's subpage and a related blog post. To learn more about our new rolling question formats, see this blog post.

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on the results of the Pew Research Center "Trust and Distrust in America" survey. The survey asks "How much confidence, if any, do you have in the military to act in the best interests of the public?" The answer options are "A great deal of confidence," "A fair amount of confidence," "Not too much confidence," and "No confidence at all." This question asks about the percentage of respondents who select either "Not too much confidence" or "No confidence at all." 

The date of the survey is the end of the survey period, not the date the results are published. This survey is conducted at irregular intervals, and therefore might not be conducted during each of the three years being forecasted. If the survey is not conducted during a forecast period, that period will not be scored.  This question has been asked three times previously: June 2016, February 2018, and December 2018*. The results of those surveys are available here (pg. 67).

*Note that the December 2018 value appears in the graph under 2019.

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