Question 6 of 10 in Industry
Started Jun 17, 2020 04:24AM UTC   •   Closing Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC

How much will the U.S. government spend on surveillance-related AI grants between June 1, 2020 and May 31, 2021, inclusive?


Context. The U.S. government funds research through both grants and contracts. This question focuses only on grants.

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on data from the Dimensions grant database. For this question, a grant is an "AI grant" if the abstract mentions either "artificial intelligence" or "machine learning." A grant is "surveillance related" if its abstract includes the term "surveillance," "facial recognition," or a variant on those terms. This question resolves when CSET receives Dimensions grant data through May 31, 2021. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Name Probability
Less than $3 million 11%
Between $3 million and $7 million, inclusive 37%
More than $7 million but less than or equal to $11 million 17%
More than $11 million but less than or equal to $15 million 11%
More than $15 million 24%

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