Question 4 of 6 in Research
Started Jun 17, 2020 03:02PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?


Context. The U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) funds research through both grants and contracts. This question focuses only on grants.

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on data from the Dimensions grant database. For this question, a grant is an "AI grant" if the abstract mentions either "artificial intelligence" or "machine learning." The graph below does not include data for the first half of 2020. As of June 20, 2020, the Dimensions grants data reflects grants through May 27, 2020, and shows a total of $7,104,943 in grant spending in 2020. This question resolves when CSET receives Dimensions grant data through December 31, 2020. 

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Name Probability
Less than $30 million 9%
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive 29%
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million 31%
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million 15%
More than $150 million 17%

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