Started Aug 24, 2021 01:35PM UTC   •   Closing Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC

How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?

This question is a metric for an issue campaign on the future of the DoD-Silicon Valley relationship. To learn more about this issue campaign and the relevance of this question, see the campaign's subpage and a related blog post. To learn more about our new rolling question formats, see this demo video or blog post.

Related question. We previously published versions of this question—asking about revenue over a six-month period—forecasting the first half of 2021 and the second half of 2021. You can view those forecasts here and here.

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on the 10-Q filings of Alphabet Inc., Inc., Apple Inc., Facebook Inc., and Microsoft Inc. The historical and forecasted values are a four-quarter rolling sum. Forecasting for each six-month period ends halfway through the period. 


The historical data underlying the graph is here.

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What are forecasters saying? Here is a periodically updated synopsis of forecaster rationales.


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Current Crowd Forecast

Time Period Forecast
2021 H2 1473.17
2022 H1 1612.45
2022 H2 1740.29
2023 H1 1887.24
2023 H2 1995.09
2024 H1 2168.74

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