Started May 28, 2020 08:14PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC

Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Topics

Context. On January 15, 2020, the U.S. and China entered into a trade agreement, offering a reprieve to the escalating trade war. The COVID-19 pandemic has slowed China's purchases of U.S. goods required by the agreement, and President Trump has threatened to terminate the agreement if China does not uphold its end (Washington Post).

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on reports in popular media sources. An official announcement of withdrawal qualifies. 

***

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

To suggest a change or clarification to this question, please select Request Clarification from the green gear-shaped dropdown button to the right of the question.

Correct Answer

No

Final Crowd Forecast

12%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

145

Forecast
Count

236

Crowd Brier Score

0.1247


Most Accurate

Score

1.
-0.071
3.
-0.066
4.
-0.056