Related question. A version of this question was previously issued for 2021. You can view those forecasts here. The median crowd forecast for 2021 is 5%.

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from the Nexis Metabase (2021), a corpus of global news articles on a variety of topics. The question is limited to press releases by companies that Nexis categorizes as corporate and located in the United States. A press release is on the topic of AI if it mentions the term "artificial intelligence" or "machine learning"; and it's on the topic of AI ethics if it also mentions either "ethics," "bias," fairness," or any variant of those terms. 

The data for 2021 in the graph below is incomplete and will be updated over the course of the year.

The graph is linked directly to data from the vendor. Values on the graph can change if the vendor updates the data in ways that impact past data points. If the data changes to a non-trivial extent, we will notify forecasters and add a new snapshot of the data to the spreadsheet to make it easier to view the changes. 

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