Question 3 of 13 in Industry
Started Mar 12, 2021 02:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC

How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?


Related questions. This question was previously issued for 2020 Q3 and 2021 Q1. You can view those forecasts here and here. For 2020 Q3, the answer was 39,364 and the median crowd forecast was 37,271. We will add the resolution for the 2021 Q1 question as soon as the data is available. 

Context. Job postings reflect the priorities and expectations of employers. They provide hints about future research and development.

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Burning Glass Technologies. The date of a job posting is the date Burning Glass retrieves the data. The question resolves when CSET receives Burning Glass data through December 31, 2021. 

Through February 2021, 34,663 U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills were posted, which puts the first half of 2021 on pace for 106,328 job postings.

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

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Name Probability
Less than 70,000 12%
Between 70,000 and 90,000, inclusive 30%
More than 90,000 but less than or equal to 110,000 33%
More than 110,000 but less than or equal to 130,000 19%
More than 130,000 6%

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