Question 3 of 18 in Industry
Started Feb 02, 2021 02:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

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Related question. This question was previously issued for the period July 1 to December 31, 2020. You can view it here. The crowd's mean forecast was $19.35 billion, and the correct answer was $18.67 billion. 

Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on Crunchbase data. Crunchbase classifies every company under multiple “category groups.” For this question, companies are classified as “tech” if software, hardware, internet services, or information technology are among their category groups. These categories are overlapping. A company is classified as a startup if the funding round in question is any of the following: pre-seed, seed, angel, series a, series b, or venture round. This question resolves on January 30, 2022, 30 days after the forecast period ends. The question -- and the graph below -- therefore includes only transactions entered into Crunchbase within 30 days of the date of its announcement. Historically, 80% of new funding is entered into Crunchbase within 30 days. 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following scenarios:

For more on this metric, see the accompanying Foretell metric analysis: "Are Established Tech Companies Crowding Out Startups?"

To suggest a change or clarification to this question, please select Request Clarification from the green gear-shaped dropdown button to the right of the question.

Name Probability
Less than $13 billion 3%
Between $13 billion and $17 billion, inclusive 13%
More than $17 billion but less than or equal to $21 billion 48%
More than $21 billion but less than or equal to $25 billion 28%
More than $25 billion 7%

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