Question 3 of 5 in Public Attitudes
Started Jan 06, 2021 02:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC

What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?


Related question. This question was previously issued for the period June 15 to August 15, 2020. You can view it here. The crowd's mean forecast  was 1.15%, and the correct answer was 1.3%. Those two months were not representative of the second half of 2020 overall, however, which was 0.7%.

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Nexis Metabase, a corpus of global news articles on a variety of topics. An article is on the topic of AI if it mentions the term "artificial intelligence"; and it's on the topic of privacy and security if it mentions the terms "privacy" and "security." 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Name Probability
Less than 0.45% 5%
Between 0.45% and 0.7%, inclusive 15%
More than 0.7% but less than or equal to 0.95% 37%
More than 0.95% but less than or equal to 1.2% 25%
More than 1.2% 19%

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