Question 3 of 5 in Public Attitudes
Started Jan 06, 2021 02:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC

What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

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Related question. This question was previously issued for the period June 15 to August 15, 2020. You can view it here. The crowd's mean forecast  was 1.15%, and the correct answer was 1.3%. Those two months were not representative of the second half of 2020 overall, however, which was 0.7%.

Data and resolution details. This question is based on data from Nexis Metabase, a corpus of global news articles on a variety of topics. An article is on the topic of AI if it mentions the term "artificial intelligence"; and it's on the topic of privacy and security if it mentions the terms "privacy" and "security." 

The data underlying the graph is here.

This question is a metric for the following world forecasts:

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Name Probability
Less than 0.45% 5%
Between 0.45% and 0.7%, inclusive 15%
More than 0.7% but less than or equal to 0.95% 37%
More than 0.95% but less than or equal to 1.2% 25%
More than 1.2% 19%

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