How it works:

Step

You submit a forecasting question you’d like to see published on CSET Foretell (read the guidance for question submissions).

Step

You, admins, and other forecasters collaborate and iterate on the question details to make sure it's well formed and includes answer options for all possible outcomes.

Step

Forecasters vote on suggested questions to surface topics that are of most interest to the community.

Step

An admin will make a final decision and publish the best questions for forecasting.

Pending Published Archived
Pinned Question Votes Question Author Status Last Edited
Pinned Question
9
Will the Biden administration introduce legislation by Dec. 31, 2021, to require mandatory reporting of cyberattacks on U.S. utilities?
Columbus
Open 06/11/21 03:09am
Pinned Question
5
What will be the fourth quarter to fourth quarter percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index for the fourth quarter of 2021?
RyanBeck
Open 06/11/21 03:10am
Pinned Question
9
Will Alexei Navalny be alive on December 31, 2021?
2biased
Open 06/14/21 09:40pm
Pinned Question
3
With Afghanistan growing increasingly unstable, will China announce the deployment of troops in Afghanistan with the purpose of counterterrorism?
screano
Open 06/14/21 09:41pm
Pinned Question
3
Will the Biden Administration include illegal, unregulated, and unreported (IUU) fishing in its list of national security priorities by the end of the year, with a particular focus on the South China Sea?
Columbus
Open 06/12/21 10:00am
Pinned Question
3
Will Microsoft announce the release of an additional app integrated with GPT-3 by September 1, 2021?
RyanBeck
Open 06/09/21 01:09am
Pinned Question
6
Will the Tokyo Olympics, scheduled to begin on July 23, proceed as planned?
2biased
Open 06/10/21 01:50am
Pinned Question
1
In May 2021, Facebook launched its report on Combating Influence Operations. Will any other social media company launch a similar report by December 31, 2021?
Mauricio_B
Open 05/28/21 02:32pm
Pinned Question
4
Will a Biosafety Level 3 or 4 laboratory report the leakage of a biological pathogen before the end of 2022?
PabloAMC
Open 06/11/21 08:42am
Pinned Question
3
Will the US successfully convene a "Quad Plus" gathering before June 1, 2022 that covers a substantive issue besides Covid-19?
shaun-ee
Open 06/12/21 10:59pm
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