Confirming previous forecast
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0
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1832 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 117 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 419 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
13%
(0%)
Less than 40
29%
(0%)
More than or equal to 40 but less than 60
35%
(0%)
More than or equal to 60 but less than 80
18%
(0%)
More than or equal to 80 but less than 100
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 100
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Less than 5
32%
(0%)
Between 5 and 11, inclusive
37%
(0%)
Between 12 and 17, inclusive
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to 18
Confirming previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
11%
(0%)
Yes
Confirming previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
47%
(0%)
Yes
Confirming previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 11, 2023 11:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(-1%)
Yes
Jan 11, 2023 to Feb 11, 2023
No indication that a use or test is imminent, revising downwards a point from last month's prediction.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
63%
(0%)
Less than 200
30%
(0%)
More than or equal to 200 but less than 400
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 400 but less than 600
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to 600 but less than 800
1%
(0%)
More than or equal to 800 but less than 1000
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 1000
Confirming previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
Confirming previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
Confirming previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes, 25+ in Georgia, but not in Moldova
4%
(-2%)
Yes, 25+ in Moldova, but not in Georgia
1%
(0%)
Yes, 25+ in Georgia and 25+ in Moldova
94%
(+3%)
No, 25+ in neither Georgia nor Moldova
Lowering the yes's with the passage of time.
Files
Confirming previous forecast