Forecasted Questions
Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2021 12:07AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 20, 2021 12:07AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2021 12:08AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 20, 2021 12:08AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 7,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 7,500 and 9,500, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 9,500 but less than or equal to 11,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 11,500 but less than or equal to 13,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 13,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2021 12:08AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 20, 2021 12:08AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 800 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 800 and 4,000 | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 4,000 but less than or equal to 20,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 20,000 but less than or equal to 100,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 100,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2021 12:12AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 20, 2021 12:12AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 | Answer was correct | |||
| Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Not before October 1, 2022 | Answer was incorrect | |||