brycefarabaugh

Bryce Farabaugh
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Forecasted Questions
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What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Mar 01, 2021 05:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 29, 2020 11:40PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $260 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $260 billion and $300 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 billion but less than or equal to $340 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $340 billion but less than or equal to $380 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $380 billion Answer was correct

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 30, 2020 10:47PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 30, 2020 10:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Nov 30, 2020 11:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 30,000 and 38,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 38,000 but less than or equal to 46,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 46,000 but less than or equal to 54,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 54,000 Answer was correct

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 31, 2020 11:55PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $440 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion Answer was correct

What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 26, 2021 05:02AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.07 Answer was incorrect
Between 0.07 and 0.08 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.08 but less than or equal to 0.09 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.09 but less than or equal to 0.1 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.1 Answer was correct
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