Following the increased trend...considering the continued impact of Covid-related economical and geopolitical unrest. And recent news of Taliban takeover of Afghanistan which will surge conflict in Middle East. Also anticipate conflicts in SCS. However, my overall curve for 2021-2024 has lower peaks than the period from 2016-2020, as I anticipate the Biden Administration will prioritize international diplomacy moreso than the Trump Admin. did (especially after the events in Afghanistan).

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