Foretell is a new crowdsourced forecasting initiative by the Center for Security and Emerging Technology at Georgetown’s Walsh School of Foreign Service. Applications to join the forecasting community will be released this summer.
You are a student pursuing an advanced degree from a global policy, technology, government, or business program.
You are an academic researcher or university professor focusing on emerging technology, government and policy, or U.S.-China relations.
You are an experienced professional working in the emerging technology, government, or legal sector in the U.S. or abroad.
Foretell is a crowd forecasting project that aims to fill a gap in current data-driven approaches to policymaking. The fast pace of development in the technological and geopolitical landscapes creates urgency for timely and accurate forecasts that inform policy decisions. Foretell will identify overarching policy issues and generate public forecasts using a “collective intelligence” approach, which years of academic and government research have proven to be less biased and more accurate than most expert judgments.
The project is run by the Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET), a research center at Georgetown’s Walsh School of Foreign Service, that supports academic work in emerging technology and delivers nonpartisan analysis to the policy community. CSET is partnering with Cultivate Labs, a crowdsourcing startup, to run the project. Cultivate supports crowd forecasting efforts for governments and private organizations around the world.
Foretell is seeking participant forecasters across relevant disciplines and industries, including graduate students and faculty from top public policy, technology, business, and relevant programs. Participants will provide probabilistic forecasts monthly and will have access to all real-time aggregate trends, activity, and discussion forums.back to top
Applications for the forecasting community will be released this summer. Tell us about yourself and any relevant experience.
Spend a few minutes every week, or a little more every two weeks, anonymously making and updating forecasts and rationales on new questions that get released.
Share news, thoughts, and rumors with the rest of the community on discussion boards. Any updates give participants better context for forecasting.
Share the program with friends or colleagues over coffee, or post about it on social media. 2020 cohort applications will be open on a rolling basis until spots are filled.